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                    经济形势理性看：深刻熟悉我国经济生长的底气、优势和机缘
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                            <p><img src="https://pic.qqtn.com/up/2018-3/15202284086701048.jpg" alt="构建软塑包装全链条循环系统">&#39740;&#28781;&#20043;&#20995;&#34676;&#34678;&#24525;&#32473;&#25630;&#40481;,   <p><strong>　　深刻熟悉我国经济生长的底气、优势和机缘(经济形势理性看)<br /></strong></p><p>　　焦点阅读</p><p>　　我国经济韧性强、潜力大、活力足，，生长具有“五个战略性有利条件”，，面临新的战略机缘，，稳中向好、恒久向好的基本面不会改变。。。。。我们要深入学习贯彻习近平经济头脑，，深刻熟悉和掌握我国经济生长的底气、优势和机缘，，推动中国经济大船乘风破浪一连前行。。。。。</p><p>　　有底气：高质量生长扎实推进</p><p>　　今年以来，，我国经济在固本培元中一连回升向好，，在天下经济苏醒乏力的配景下，，在日趋强烈的国际竞争中稳健前行。。。。。</p><p>　　经济实力稳步提升。。。。。今年前三季度，，我国海内生产总值(GDP)同比增添5.2%，，增速在天下主要经济体中继续坚持领先。。。。。分季度看，，一季度GDP同比增添4.5%，，二季度增添6.3%，，三季度增添4.9%。。。。。分工业看，，农业生产形势总体优异，，畜牧业平稳增添；；；工业生产恢复加速，，装备制造业较快增添；；；效劳业一连较快恢复，，接触型群集型效劳业和现代效劳业刊行动用增强，，三次工业生长向好。。。。。</p><p>　　制造业竞争优势一连提升。。。。。2022年，，我国制造业增添值占全球比重约为30%。。。。。今年前三季度，，天下规模以上工业增添值同比增添4.0%，，总体坚持平稳运行态势。。。。。更主要的是，，制造业转型升级效果显着，，突出体现在装备制造业快速生长、国际竞争力大幅提升，，汽车、高铁、卫星等正成为中国制造的新手刺，，工业数字化、绿色化转型加速。。。。。在全球工业分工名堂加速演进配景下，，作为国民经济基本的制造业稳中有进，，大大增强了我国经济生长的底气和后劲。。。。。</p><p>　　立异能力一直增强。。。。。从数字经济到低碳经济、从战略性新兴工业到未来工业，，我国生长新动能新优势一直群集。。。。。今年前三季度，，高手艺工业投资增添11.4%，，电动载人汽车、锂电池、太阳能电池“新三样”继续坚持较快增添势头。。。。。新兴工业生长壮大，，在扩大有用投资、增进消耗、稳外贸等方面施展着主要作用，，成为经济增添的主要引擎。。。。。</p><p>　　强盛海内市场建设扎实推进。。。。。今年以来，，我国市场销售加速恢复，，消耗数字化、品质化、个性化趋势显着。。。。。牢靠资产投资总体坚持平稳，，基础设施投资、制造业投资、高手艺工业投资较快增添，，投资结构一直优化。。。。。前三季度，，社会消耗品零售总额342107亿元，，同比增添6.8%；；；天下网上零售额抵达108198亿元，，同比增添11.6%。。。。。天下牢靠资产投资(不含农户)375035亿元，，同比增添3.1%。。。。。最终消耗支出和资源形成总额对经济增添的孝顺率划分为83.2%和29.8%，，海内大循环的作用越发凸显。。。。。</p><p>　　生态文明建设取得新希望。。。。。生态情形治理一连增强，，碳达峰碳中和有序推进。。。。。今年上半年，，水质优良(Ⅰ—Ⅲ类)断面比例为87.8%，，同比上升2.1个百分点。。。。。能源使用效率继续提升，，单位GDP能耗同比下降0.4%。。。。。</p><p>　　别的，，我国城乡区域协调生长水平、人民生涯水一律也在稳步提升。。。。。综合来看，，在党中央顽强向导下，，我国经济在量的合理增添和质的有用提升上都取得显着效果，，稳中有进的主流和时势一直牢靠。。。。。</p><p>　　有优势：我国生长具有战略性的有利条件</p><p>　　习近平总书 记指出“我国生长仍具有诸多战略性的有利条件”，，并深刻叙述了“五个战略性有利条件”。。。。。我们要深刻熟悉和掌握我国生长的战略性有利条件，，不为任何危害所惧、不为任何滋扰所惑，，集中实力办妥自己的事。。。。。</p><p>　　有中国共产党的顽强向导。。。。。中国共产党向导是中国特色社会主义制度的最大优势。。。。。新中国建设以来，，正是由于坚持党的向导，，集中实力办大事，，国家统一有用组织各项事业、开展各项事情，，我们才华乐成应对一系列重大危害挑战、战胜无数艰难险阻，，沿着准确偏向稳步前进。。。。。目今，，百年变局加速演进，，天下进入新的动荡厘革期。。。。。坚持党的集中统一直导，，就能确保我国社会主义现代化建设的准确偏向，，确保拥有团结斗争的强盛政治凝聚力、生长自信心，，集聚起万众一心、共克时艰的磅礴实力。。。。。</p><p>　　有中国特色社会主义制度的显著优势。。。。。中国特色社会主义制度是今世中国生长前进的基础制度包管，，是具有显着制度优势、强盛自我完善能力的先进制度。。。。。好比，，坚持公有制为主体、多种所有制经济配合生长和按劳分派为主体、多种分派方法并存，，把社会主义制度和市场经济有机连系起来，，既有利于引发种种谋划主体活力、解放和生长社会生产力，，又有利于增进效率和公正有机统一、一直实现配合富足；；；坚持依法治国，，坚持法治国家、法治政府、法治社会一体建设，，为解放和增强社会活力、增进社会公正正义、维护社会协调稳固、确保党和国家长治久安施展了主要作用；；；等等。。。。。坚持和完善中国特色社会主义制度，，推进中国式现代化就有了顽强制度包管。。。。。</p><p>　　有一连快速生长积累的坚实基础。。。。。目今，，我国经济总量稳居天下第二位，，2022年占天下经济比重约18%；；；科技自主自强加速推进，，一些要害焦点手艺实现突破，，在2023年全球立异指数排名中居第十二位；；；建设了天下最完整的工业系统，，制造业规模一连10多年位居天下第一；；；形成了超大规模市场，，加速工业转型升级、生长战略性新兴工业具有强盛内需支持；；；形成了全方位多条理宽领域的对外开放名堂，，一连多年坚持天下第一货物商业国职位。。。。。一连快速生长积累的坚实基础是我国经济稳中求进的“压舱石”，，也是实现第二个百年斗争目的的“稳固器”。。。。。</p><p>　　有恒久稳固的社会情形。。。。。我国坚持以人民为中心的生长头脑，，坚持生长为了人民、生长依赖人民、生长效果由人民共享，，把实现人民对优美生涯的神往作为现代化建设的起点和落脚点，，一直在生长中包管和改善民生，，坚定不移走配合富足蹊径。。。。。同时，，我们坚持和完善中国特色社会主义制度、推进国家治理系统和治理能力现代化，，运用制度威力应对危害挑战攻击，，切实包管人民群众生命工业清静和社会阵势稳固，，成为国际社会公认的最有清静感的国家之一。。。。。</p><p>　　有自信自强的精神情力。。。。。经由恒久不懈斗争，，我国从“一穷二白”跃升为天下第二大经济体，，从落伍的农业国生长成为天下第一制造大国，，创立了世所有数的经济快速生长和社会恒久稳固两大事业。。。。。党的十八大以来，，在以习近平同志为焦点的党中央顽强向导下，，党和国家事业取得历史性成绩、爆发历史性厘革，，为中国式现代化建设提供了更为完善的制度包管、更为坚实的物质基础、更为自动的精神情力。。。。。今天，，中国人民越发自信、自主、自强，，起劲性、自动性、创立性进一步施展，，汇聚起勇毅前行、攻坚克难的强盛精神情力。。。。。</p><p>　　有机缘：我国经济生长面临新的战略机缘</p><p>　　党的二十大报告提出：“目今，，天下百年未有之大变局加速演进，，新一轮科技革命和工业厘革深入生长，，国际实力比照深刻调解，，我国生长面临新的战略机缘。。。。。”从经济方面看，，新的战略机缘至少包括五个方面。。。。。</p><p>　　经济结构优化升级带来新机缘。。。。。加速解决生长不平衡不充分问题，，推动城乡区域协调生长，，将为我国经济开发新的增添空间。。。。。好比，，新能源汽车、刚性和改善性住房需求等大宗消耗品市场需求尚有较大提升空间，，教育、医疗、养老、文化旅游等消耗潜力一直释放，，科技立异、绿色生长、数字化转型、节能环保和新能源、新基建等领域投资潜力重大；；；工业化和信息化、先进制造业和现代效劳业融合生长历程加速，，推动工业转型升级程序加速、新旧动能接续转换；；；随着城镇化快速推进，，越来越多农村生齿在都会捌矫皲户，，将为经济生长开发新的投资和消耗空间；；；等等。。。。。加速推动经济结构优化升级，，我们就能加速构建新生长名堂，，牢牢掌握未来生长自动权。。。。。</p><p>　　科技立异能力提升带来新机缘。。。。。新时代以来，，我国科技立异取得新的历史性成绩，，充分显示出我国在新领域新赛道具有应用场景富厚、市场规模重大、工业配套强等诸多优势，，充分证实我国自主立异大有可为。。。。。我们要掌握人工智能等新科技革命浪潮，，推进工业智能化、绿色化、融合化，，建设现代化工业系统。。。。。捉住科技立异能力提升带来的新机缘，，推动科教兴国战略、人才强国战略、立异驱动生长战略有用联动，，坚持教育生长、科技立异、人才作育一体推进，，起劲在要害焦点手艺上一直取得重大突破，，开爆发长新领域新赛道，，一直塑造生长新动能新优势。。。。。</p><p>　　周全深化刷新开放带来新机缘。。。。。刷新是解放和生长社会生产力的要害，，是推动国家生长的基础动力。。。。。以完善产权制度和要素市场化设置为重点，，周全深化经济体制刷新，，构建越发系统完整、越发成熟定型的高水平社会主义市场经济体制，，有利于加速推动高质量生长；；；完善增进消耗体制、深化投融资体制机制刷新，，有利于增强消耗对经济生长的基础性作用和投资对优化供应结构的要害性作用；；；在继续推进制造业开放的同时，，分类有序推进效劳业扩大开放，，鼎力大举生长知识麋集型效劳业，，提升效劳商业生长水平，，有利于建设开放型经济强国……捉住周全深化刷新开放带来的新机缘，，一定能够以刷新开放新突破推动社会生产力大跃升。。。。。</p><p>　　加速绿色生长带来新机缘。。。。。推进碳达峰碳中和事情，，加速形成节约资源和；；；で樾蔚墓ひ到峁埂⑸椒ā⑸姆椒ā⒖占涿，，将从需求和供应两侧拓展经济生长空间。。。。。从需求看，，加速绿色生长将有力发动投资、消耗需求增添。。。。。从供应看，，推动绿色生长、增进人与自然协调共生，，将发动节能环保、新能源汽车等工业生长，，培育形成经济生长新的支柱工业、新的增添点。。。。。捉住加速绿色生长带来的新机缘，，加大生态文明建设力度，，我国经济生长的一连性和竞争力将大幅提升。。。。。</p><p>　　加入引领全球治理系统厘革带来新机缘。。。。。2008年国际金融；；；岳，，天下经济苏醒乏力，，全球治理系统进入刷新和建设的主要时期。。。。。作为天下第二大经济体，，我国始终坚持权力和义务相平衡，，践行共商共建共享的全球治理观，，推动全球治理系统朝着越发公正合理偏向生长。。。。。捉住加入引领全球治理系统厘革带来的新机缘，，推动建设开放型天下经济，，将为我国经济生长营造更为有利的外部情形。。。。。</p><p>　　(作者为中国社会科学院副院长)</p></p>
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